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🇺🇸 Early Voting Numbers Paint a ‘Scary’ Picture for Harris Camp 🇺🇸
📊 Key Data Points:
Early Voting Numbers “Scary” for Harris: Former Obama campaign manager Jim Messina admits early votes favor Republicans, a stark contrast to 2020.
Republican Advantage in Early Voting: Unlike the last election, Trump’s base has turned out strong for early voting. Four out of seven battleground states show higher Republican turnout, with Arizona leading the gap at 42% GOP vs. 33% Democrat.
Democratic Stronghold in Specific Demographics: 41% of early voters are Democrats, slightly edging out 39% Republicans, with 20% unaffiliated. Notably, women constitute 53% of early voters, and young voters (ages 18-39) are showing up in historic numbers, especially in battleground states.
Overall Early Turnout: So far, 76.2 million mail-in and in-person early votes cast across the US.
For the Harris camp, the so-called “blue wave” might end up as little more than a ripple. Trump’s supporters have risen early from their slumber, pouring into the polls like a silent rebellion against four years of hollow promises and failures. While Messina scrambles to reassure with a few thin rays of hope, young voters, women, the GOP ground game has quietly fortified, with battleground states swinging right where it matters most. This election, for all its scripted theatrics, may not be the coronation of the Democrats anticipated but a reckoning with a disillusioned nation. The Harris camp faces a hard truth: enthusiasm gaps and whisper campaigns aren’t enough to turn the tide. In this battlefield, numbers speak louder than client-MSM narratives, and as it stands, the silent majority may be making itself heard.
- Gerry Nolan
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Source
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• Middle East risk flares — IDF hits Hezbollah sites in south Lebanon; Houthis threaten Saudi assets; France deploys naval/mine-countermeasure assets near Hormuz.
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⛽ Oil & Energy
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🇮🇷🏆🇺🇸 Iran Is a Bigger Defeat Than Vietnam | Foreign Policy
At his second inaugural, U.S. President Donald Trump pronounced his hope “that our recent presidential election will be remembered as the greatest and most consequential election in the history of our country.” By losing his Gulf war, Trump has achieved that goal. His choice to launch a campaign against Iran was encouraged by others, but fully his own. It has led to a reversal that marks a strategic calamity far greater than the U.S. defeat in the Vietnam War.
Defeat in the Iranian war looks, on the surface, nothing like other U.S. military defeats. The speed of the war and its remoteness have lent an air of unreality to the whole endeavor. The White House has not been burned, as it was in 1814; there have not been protests against a nonexistent draft. The absence of substantial U.S. casualties in this conflict also masks the scale of the U.S. defeat. To be sure, the war has been deadly: Thousands of Iranians, ...
According to The Wall Street Journal, Donald Trump reviewed military options for a full-scale war against Iran to “finish the job,” but has decided, for now, not to move forward.
The report says Trump is concerned that renewed military conflict could hurt the chances of a diplomatic resolution and of dismantling Iran’s nuclear program, and that he’s shown willingness to let indirect talks in Qatar run past the August 18 deadline. He is said to be fine with continuing limited strikes on Iranian targets if Tehran violates the current temporary deal - as it already has, repeatedly.
How are those negotiations going?
Not well. It seems JD Vance’s “historic” face-to-face achievement was a one-off. Washington has been quietly downgraded from talking to the Great Satan to negotiating with the Little Satan instead - a senior Qatari official confirmed that U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Qatari officials in Doha, but there are currently no high-level U.S.-Iran meetings ...
