Iran and the US - Is Trump serious?
The truly interesting news to me is not from the impressive bombers. But from the gray things.
In recent days, India , unlike the rest of the industrialized world, has been among the few countries that Trump has not come against in the trade war. There is a reason for this: India will be the world's cheap labor manufacturer and will replace China.
If India in 10-20 years will have Iranian oil instead of Saudi oil - that's not good for the US. After all, you are a superpower. You're not just being nice. Your goal is to create control: that the country that produces your products (India) will buy the energy from the country that buys weapons from you (Saudi Arabia), and all the products and energy will pass through the trade route (Israel) under your control.
These are superpowers. They don't aim to score the most goals - but to buy the league. Trump's secondary goal in the trade war, alongside the restoration of American industry, is to engineer the industries, natural resources and trade routes to America's benefit.
For years, American presidents have preferred a “nuclear Iran over the Spectrum.”
1. Democrats loved her because they wanted to tear Iran away from China.
2. Republicans are against it because they want to tear Russia away from China.
Along the way, Arab countries and Israel join forces, buy weapons, and make agreements under US auspices.
President Trump, unlike American presidents and his own presidency since 2016, is serious about Iran because the trade war is his top goal.
The policy of "maintaining power and the balance of terror" between Iran on its path to nuclear weapons and the Arab countries and Israel is no longer relevant. If China invests billions in Iran, if the Houthis, under the auspices of Iran, block a shipping route, if Iran occasionally flirts with India, if Hezbollah threatens gas rigs - Iran is entering head-on into Trump's superpower war.
The policy of containing Iran served Iran in another era: before the US became an energy powerhouse, before the Abraham Accords, before the Russia-Ukraine war, before Iran proved with the Houthis that it had the power to stop trade routes, before Western European radicalism.
Iran sits between China and India. It is a country that, potentially, just from selling energy, can hold Asia and become a power in its own right. In the era of the trade war - in which the US is seeking to create control over trade routes: the Panama Canal, Greenland, and the completion of the Abraham Accords for the trade route that will pass through Israel and Gaza - Iran has no right to exist as a country that is not a clear American proxy, otherwise it is an energy threat.
For the same reason that the Trump administration is serious about the Gaza Strip.
For the same reason he's serious about Greenland and Panama.
This is how serious the Trump administration is about Iran.
We are in the era of superpower warfare and the US's goal now is to create control over everything related to industrial, energy, and logistical trade.
In my opinion: Trump is very serious.
(Topaz Ram)
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🇮🇷🏆🇺🇸 Iran Is a Bigger Defeat Than Vietnam | Foreign Policy
At his second inaugural, U.S. President Donald Trump pronounced his hope “that our recent presidential election will be remembered as the greatest and most consequential election in the history of our country.” By losing his Gulf war, Trump has achieved that goal. His choice to launch a campaign against Iran was encouraged by others, but fully his own. It has led to a reversal that marks a strategic calamity far greater than the U.S. defeat in the Vietnam War.
Defeat in the Iranian war looks, on the surface, nothing like other U.S. military defeats. The speed of the war and its remoteness have lent an air of unreality to the whole endeavor. The White House has not been burned, as it was in 1814; there have not been protests against a nonexistent draft. The absence of substantial U.S. casualties in this conflict also masks the scale of the U.S. defeat. To be sure, the war has been deadly: Thousands of Iranians, ...
According to The Wall Street Journal, Donald Trump reviewed military options for a full-scale war against Iran to “finish the job,” but has decided, for now, not to move forward.
The report says Trump is concerned that renewed military conflict could hurt the chances of a diplomatic resolution and of dismantling Iran’s nuclear program, and that he’s shown willingness to let indirect talks in Qatar run past the August 18 deadline. He is said to be fine with continuing limited strikes on Iranian targets if Tehran violates the current temporary deal - as it already has, repeatedly.
How are those negotiations going?
Not well. It seems JD Vance’s “historic” face-to-face achievement was a one-off. Washington has been quietly downgraded from talking to the Great Satan to negotiating with the Little Satan instead - a senior Qatari official confirmed that U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Qatari officials in Doha, but there are currently no high-level U.S.-Iran meetings ...