🇺🇸🗳⚡️- Election Day in the US tomorrow. What to Expect?

Tomorrow November 4th is election day, mainly for local races and a few statewide contests across the country. Namely the statewide general elections for New Jersey and Virginia, dozens of Mayoral elections including New York City, alongside ballot proposals across the nation most importantly a redistricting referendum in California, and some court elections in Pennsylvania.

The most important races which have garnered the most attention are the New York Mayoral race alongside the 2 Gubernatorial contests.

New York's Mayoral campaign between Democrat Zohran Mamdani, former Governor Andrew Cuomo, and Republican Curtis Sliwa, is seen as a major blow to the Democratic establishment and a big test for the electoral viability of the Democratic Socialists of America after Mamdani defeated Cuomo in the primary earlier this year.

Former Governor Cuomo has failed to offer Curtis Sliwa any type of deal to drop out and endorse him despite many New York Republican officials endorsing Cuomo against Mamdani. There are rumors that zionist billionaires such as Bill Ackman have even offered Sliwa bribes or job offers in order to get him to drop out yet he has refused.

Polling has Mamdani comfortably winning the 3 way race yet will potentially be the worst electoral performing Democrat in recent city history. The RCP average currently has him at 46% of the vote with Cuomo following at a distant 32% and Sliwa at 16%. However polling severely underestimated Mamdani in the primary, it is likely he will receive anywhere between 50-58% of the final vote.

New Jersey's election between Democrat Mikie Sherrill and Republican Jack Ciattarelli has been much closer than anticipated. New Jersey has been a solid blue state in the 21st century however last year President Trump only lost the state by 5 points, a major swing to the right compared to 2020 when Joe Biden won the state by almost 1 million votes. Ciattarelli has run a strong campaign but is against the headwinds of an increasingly unpopular Trump Administration. It is expected that Sherrill will win by around 3-5 points although an upset is not out of the question.

Virginia's statewide elections are expected to be the highlight of the night for the Democratic party as Republican Winsome Earle-Sears is, to put it mildly, really stupid compared to Democrat Abigail Spanberger. Spanberger, a former CIA agent who was elected to congress in the 2018 midterms, is seen as a moderate establishment figure in the Democratic party. She famously criticized AOC and the progressive wing of the party after 2020 blaming them for the House losses that year. She is expected to win comfortably by anywhere between 8-11 points for a much needed boost to Democratic morale at a time when the party is being demolished by the GOP and leftists.

The Attorney Generals race, which entered the spotlight following Democrat Jay Jones texts being revealed showing he fantasized about a GOP politicians White kids dying for "being little fascists" is the only possible victory for the GOP in the state. The current Attorney General Jason Miyares is the only incumbent able to run for re-election this year and has hammered away endlessly at this scandal while attaching himself to the popular Governor Youngkin. However with the government shutdown and the top of the ticket dragging the GOP down its likely Jay Jones will win in the end. The race is a true tossup but its expected Jones will eek out a win by 1-3 points. However Miyares has a very decent chance of winning.

A Jones victory would also open the gates to the Virginia Democrats redrawing the House of Representatives districts in the state which would follow in California and Texas's footsteps in drawing blatant partisan gerrymanders, further complicating the GOP's ability to retain the house in 2026.

California's ballot proposal allowing the state to gerrymander out most California Republicans from the House of Representatives is expected to pass by huge margins.