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๐ The World In 2026 : Multiple Wars Ongoing - Clรฉment Molin
From Yemen ๐พ๐ช to Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ passing through Sudan ๐ธ๐ฉ, Mali ๐ฒ๐ฑ, Haiti ๐ญ๐น and the DRC ๐จ๐ฉ, war is still ongoing in multiple countries.
Summary :
-Yemen ๐พ๐ช
-Israel/Palestine ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
-Lebanon ๐ฑ๐ง
-Syria ๐ธ๐พ
-Iran ๐ฎ๐ท
-Ukraine/Russia ๐บ๐ฆ๐ท๐บ
-Sudan ๐ธ๐ฉ
-Ethiopia ๐ช๐น
-Somalia ๐ธ๐ด
-DRC/Rwanda ๐จ๐ฉ๐ท๐ผ
-Mozambique ๐ฒ๐ฟ
-Central Africa ๐น๐ฉ๐ณ๐ช๐ณ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฒ๐ธ๐ธ๐จ๐ซ
-Sahel ๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ง๐ซ๐ธ๐ณ๐ฌ๐ณ๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐น๐ฌ๐ง๐ฏ๐ณ๐ฌ
-Afghanistan/Pakistan ๐ฆ๐ซ๐ต๐ฐ
-Myanmar ๐ฒ๐ฒ
-Thailand/Cambodia ๐น๐ญ๐ฐ๐ญ
-Indonesia/Philippines ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ต๐ญ
-Cartel Wars ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ป๐ช๐จ๐ด๐ช๐จ๐ญ๐น
-Others...
Yemen ๐พ๐ช: South Arabia's Independence, the Saudi-UAE War, Anti-Houthi Bombardments
Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ - Palestine ๐ต๐ธ : official end of the war but continuous fightings
Lebanon ๐ฑ๐ง
In Lebanon, Israeli operations have led to the destruction of a significant portion of Hezbollah's leadership, which has been greatly weakened, benefiting other Lebanese factions.
Syria ๐ธ๐พ: A Gradual Transition from War to Pacification
Iran ๐ฎ๐ท: When the regime falters
In Iran, 2025 saw the mullahs' regime teetering on the brink, a regime that could fall as early as 2026.
Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ-Russia ๐ท๐บ: A fourth year of war, 0.9% of Ukraine captured, and a more deadly war.
Sudan ๐ธ๐ฉ: A Forgotten, Massive, and Ultra-Deadly War
Ethiopia ๐ช๐น: The War No One Is Talking About
Somalia ๐ธ๐ด: Secession and Internal War
DRC ๐จ๐ฉ-Rwanda ๐ท๐ผ: The Kivu War Spreads
Mozambique ๐ฒ๐ฟ: Jihadist Surge
Central Africa ๐น๐ฉ๐ณ๐ช๐ณ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฒ๐ธ๐ธ๐จ๐ซ: Jihadist insurgency around Lake Chad and tensions in South Sudan and the Central African Republic
Sahel ๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ง๐ซ๐ธ๐ณ๐ฌ๐ณ๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐น๐ฌ๐ง๐ฏ๐ณ๐ฌ: Jihadist Push Towards the Gulf of Guinea
Afghanistan ๐ฆ๐ซ - Pakistan ๐ต๐ฐ: Border clashes and the jihadist threat to Pakistan
Myanmar๐ฒ๐ฒ: An Endless Civil War
Cambodia ๐ฐ๐ญ-Thailand ๐น๐ญ: A New Conflict
Indonesia ๐ฎ๐ฉ and Philippines ๐ต๐ญ, small and forgotten wars
Cartel Wars in Latin America: Venezuela ๐ป๐ช, Colombia ๐จ๐ด, Ecuador ๐ช๐จ, Haiti ๐ญ๐น, Mexico ๐ฒ๐ฝ...
Others :
War is also ongoing in multiple other countries at different scale :
-Anti-gang war in multiple countries of latin America (Brazil, Salvador...)
-Frozen or less active wars in Libya and Irak
-War in Western Sahara between Morrocco and Polisario
-Peace found in Turkiye (PKK), Armenia and Azerbaijan, Tajikistan/Kirgizistan (still sometimes some shots at the border)
-Small scale fightings on China-India and India-Pakistan border, as well as in the south China sea.
Trump's peace: mirage or reality?
Trump believes he stopped about eight wars:
-DRC/Rwanda (the war continued)
-Armenia/Azerbaijan (his action was just a drop in the ocean)
-India/Pakistan (the war would have ended on its own, but good work in negotiation)
-Cambodia/Thailand (the war resumed)
-And the other four are probably the wars between Israel and Arab countries within the framework of the Abraham Accords... In the end, a truly mixed record, and Trump's actions weren't really decisive (except in the case of Israel).
Regarding Trump's promise to end the war in Ukraine in one day, we've been waiting for a year now; he's been tricked every time by Putin. Furthermore, Trump bombed many countries (Iran, Yemen, Somalia, Nigeria, Venezuela...).
In 2026, war is still present, with major interstate conflicts (Ukraine/Russia, DRC/Rwanda, Israel/Iran, etc.), widespread internal wars (Sudan, Yemen, etc.), substate wars linked to terrorism (Sahel, Central Africa, Mozambique, Afghanistan, etc.), rebellions (Indonesia, Philippines, Ethiopia, etc.), and gang wars.
Of course, there would also be much to say about hybrid wars (Russia vs. Europe, for example), cyber wars, and other types of conflict, but that would be too broad a topic. Here, I have attempted to create a typology of the main global conflicts at the start of this new year.
Speaking at the WEF, Savor CEO Kathleen Alexander boasts about how her company is "saving the planet" from the evils of agriculture by replacing real butters and oils with synthetic versions made from carbon dioxide and methane. ๐ณ
"Savor is part of bringing transformation to the food system by re-imagining how we make an entire macronutrientโfats and oils."
"The result is that we can dramatically lower the planetary footprint of our food system."
"Our food system today uses about 50% of the habitable land on the planet. It's 20-30% of our greenhouse gas emissions."
"And we can reduce all of those by 50-100%."
Source
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๐ Market News Digest
[July 3, 2026 EST]
๐ฅ Top Stories
โข Middle East risk flares โ IDF hits Hezbollah sites in south Lebanon; Houthis threaten Saudi assets; France deploys naval/mine-countermeasure assets near Hormuz.
โข U.S. oil market scrutiny โ DOJ/FTC say theyโre monitoring crude for price-fixing/collusion as Brent settles at $72.12/bbl.
โข Trump pardons saga โ Trump signs pardons for six and faces fresh scrutiny after NBC reported undisclosed stock purchases before tariff pause.
โฝ Oil & Energy
โข Gulf crude exports topped 10M bpd in June but remain ~40% below pre-conflict levels; Fitch flags ongoing Iran/Mideast risk to corporates and oil forecasts.
โข CMA CGM warns Hormuz transit charges would be โdevastatingโ; Airbus says defense cooperation remains pressured.
๐ Markets & Macro
โข Germanyโs 2027 draft budget lifts borrowing to โฌ203.7B and spending to โฌ555.4B; euro equities firm with DAX +0.85%.
โข ECB/BoE message: inflation still the focus, but Bailey says UK ...
๐ฎ๐ท๐๐บ๐ธ Iran Is a Bigger Defeat Than Vietnam | Foreign Policy
At his second inaugural, U.S. President Donald Trump pronounced his hope โthat our recent presidential election will be remembered as the greatest and most consequential election in the history of our country.โ By losing his Gulf war, Trump has achieved that goal. His choice to launch a campaign against Iran was encouraged by others, but fully his own. It has led to a reversal that marks a strategic calamity far greater than the U.S. defeat in the Vietnam War.
Defeat in the Iranian war looks, on the surface, nothing like other U.S. military defeats. The speed of the war and its remoteness have lent an air of unreality to the whole endeavor. The White House has not been burned, as it was in 1814; there have not been protests against a nonexistent draft. The absence of substantial U.S. casualties in this conflict also masks the scale of the U.S. defeat. To be sure, the war has been deadly: Thousands of Iranians, ...
According to The Wall Street Journal, Donald Trump reviewed military options for a full-scale war against Iran to โfinish the job,โ but has decided, for now, not to move forward.
The report says Trump is concerned that renewed military conflict could hurt the chances of a diplomatic resolution and of dismantling Iranโs nuclear program, and that heโs shown willingness to let indirect talks in Qatar run past the August 18 deadline. He is said to be fine with continuing limited strikes on Iranian targets if Tehran violates the current temporary deal - as it already has, repeatedly.
How are those negotiations going?
Not well. It seems JD Vanceโs โhistoricโ face-to-face achievement was a one-off. Washington has been quietly downgraded from talking to the Great Satan to negotiating with the Little Satan instead - a senior Qatari official confirmed that U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Qatari officials in Doha, but there are currently no high-level U.S.-Iran meetings ...
