US / Iranian Conflict
Raising to AmCON 3 (Incident Probable)
Due to the following: deteriorating negotiations between the United States and Iran; the surge in the past 48 hours of “final stage” US military assets into the Middle East; vacating US personnel from bases in Syria; the “Fatwa” issued last summer by Iranian clerics in the Summer of 2025 calling Muslims around the world to rise up if Iran is attacked; the numerous reports of Iranians who have infiltrated the US southern border in recent years and the warnings of “sleeper cells” in the United States, AmRRON is raising the AmCON one level, to Level 3 (Incident Probable).
AmRRON Special Guidance and Instructions:
AmRRON will remain at AmCON 3 until further notice, and we will continuously be monitoring the situation. Additional changes to the AmCON level, and any special instructions or guidance, will be posted here, as well as through the AmRRON member Telegram Channel, the AmRRON Corps Z-Net, and the AmRRON Mobile Team App.
Special instructions:
Inspections and functions checks on communications equipment, backup power supply systems, and all supporting equipment, etc.
Replace batteries or charge all batteries, top off fuel supplies
Avoid unnecessary travel
In the event of grid down:
Check local radio and television news sources for additional information
If local news is offline, tune to local scanner and VHF/UHF (ham) repeaters to ascertain any additional information
Tune in to the AmRRON digital HF Persistent Presence Net and monitor while you are producing your initial STATREP
Submit your STATREP over HF via Commstat (preferrably), or by FLMSG, or plain text, at your earliest opportunity
Tier 4+, Tier 5, and Tier 6 stations collect all available STATREPs and summarize the information for your Initial Event Summary
Refer to your Signals Operating Instructions to identify the next scheduled net
Follow instructions of NCS and have any traffic (SITREPs if reporting an event with details or narrative) prepared and ready to send
NCSs will ask for any Priority (or higher) traffic for the net. Transmit your call sign, state, and the precedence level of your traffic (Example 1 PPP indicates one piece of Priority traffic). NCS will then ask for Routine traffic after Priority or higher traffic is handled.
Any changes to the net schedule or additional instructions and guidance will be relayed over the Persistent Presence Nets and scheduled nets.
All official traffic from AmRRON National and SIGCENs Eastern and Pacific will be authenticated (digitally signed) using the ‘AmRRON Actual’ PGP key, as is standard practice.
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🌆 Market News Digest
[July 3, 2026 EST]
🔥 Top Stories
• Middle East risk flares — IDF hits Hezbollah sites in south Lebanon; Houthis threaten Saudi assets; France deploys naval/mine-countermeasure assets near Hormuz.
• U.S. oil market scrutiny — DOJ/FTC say they’re monitoring crude for price-fixing/collusion as Brent settles at $72.12/bbl.
• Trump pardons saga — Trump signs pardons for six and faces fresh scrutiny after NBC reported undisclosed stock purchases before tariff pause.
⛽ Oil & Energy
• Gulf crude exports topped 10M bpd in June but remain ~40% below pre-conflict levels; Fitch flags ongoing Iran/Mideast risk to corporates and oil forecasts.
• CMA CGM warns Hormuz transit charges would be “devastating”; Airbus says defense cooperation remains pressured.
📊 Markets & Macro
• Germany’s 2027 draft budget lifts borrowing to €203.7B and spending to €555.4B; euro equities firm with DAX +0.85%.
• ECB/BoE message: inflation still the focus, but Bailey says UK ...
🇮🇷🏆🇺🇸 Iran Is a Bigger Defeat Than Vietnam | Foreign Policy
At his second inaugural, U.S. President Donald Trump pronounced his hope “that our recent presidential election will be remembered as the greatest and most consequential election in the history of our country.” By losing his Gulf war, Trump has achieved that goal. His choice to launch a campaign against Iran was encouraged by others, but fully his own. It has led to a reversal that marks a strategic calamity far greater than the U.S. defeat in the Vietnam War.
Defeat in the Iranian war looks, on the surface, nothing like other U.S. military defeats. The speed of the war and its remoteness have lent an air of unreality to the whole endeavor. The White House has not been burned, as it was in 1814; there have not been protests against a nonexistent draft. The absence of substantial U.S. casualties in this conflict also masks the scale of the U.S. defeat. To be sure, the war has been deadly: Thousands of Iranians, ...
According to The Wall Street Journal, Donald Trump reviewed military options for a full-scale war against Iran to “finish the job,” but has decided, for now, not to move forward.
The report says Trump is concerned that renewed military conflict could hurt the chances of a diplomatic resolution and of dismantling Iran’s nuclear program, and that he’s shown willingness to let indirect talks in Qatar run past the August 18 deadline. He is said to be fine with continuing limited strikes on Iranian targets if Tehran violates the current temporary deal - as it already has, repeatedly.
How are those negotiations going?
Not well. It seems JD Vance’s “historic” face-to-face achievement was a one-off. Washington has been quietly downgraded from talking to the Great Satan to negotiating with the Little Satan instead - a senior Qatari official confirmed that U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Qatari officials in Doha, but there are currently no high-level U.S.-Iran meetings ...