From the reports I continue to receive via Iranian channels, one conclusion is unmistakable: the ayatollahs are not impressed by the American military buildup. They read it as posture - not intent. In their assessment, Washington remains deeply reluctant to convert capability into decisive action.
By contrast, what truly shapes their operational preparations is the prospect of an Israeli strike. That scenario is taken far more seriously in Tehran - and it is driving decisions on the ground.
The events of June 2025 cemented this mindset. When the United States appears fully engaged in diplomacy, Iranian officials increasingly interpret it not as de-escalation - but as potential strategic cover.
On the night of June 12, 2025, President Trump posted on X:
“We remain committed to a diplomatic resolution of Iran’s nuclear issue. The entire government has been instructed to negotiate with Iran. They can be a great country, but first they must completely abandon any hope of acquiring nuclear weapons.”
Yet just two and a half hours later, multiple explosions rocked Tehran. Soon after, the Israeli Air Force entered Iranian airspace.
Tehran has not forgotten that sequence. It fundamentally informs how the regime is interpreting the current moment.
Azerbaijan: This Turkish country has destroyed more Christian monuments than ISIS.
Based off satellite data, Azerbaijan erased 108 Armenian monasteries, churches and cemeteries - in just one region.
By comparison, ISIS destroyed dozens of churches.
How is this okay?
@NoAgendaLara
UPDATE: Outrage erupts as there has been a SURGE in Islamists ATTACKING and vandalizing Japanese shrines
Security footage shows people wearing HIJABS storming up and unleashing on the Soya Shrine in Hadano City
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— Hypothetically, if the U.S. wanted to carry out a naval landing in Iran, they would do it somewhere outside the Persian Gulf, most likely Chabahar or somewhere else in the flat open coasts of Sistan-Balochistan Province.
That way, they don’t need to risk their ships entering the Persian Gulf under heavy anti-ship fire and incoming drones while trying to land their soldiers on a rugged coastline full of fortified positions and artillery emplacements.
In Chabahar, they could bring their ships close enough to the shore with relative safety, under heavy air cover. U.S. jets, drones, and attack helicopters would suppress any anti-ship batteries heavily, and create sufficiently safe conditions for the initial ‘landing’. One also cannot rule out the possibility of deploying U.S. airborne forces to secure key sites before an amphibious landing is attempted.
This might be coupled with increased Balochi terrorist activity across the Iranian rear lines, complicating logistics and the transfer of ...