From the reports I continue to receive via Iranian channels, one conclusion is unmistakable: the ayatollahs are not impressed by the American military buildup. They read it as posture - not intent. In their assessment, Washington remains deeply reluctant to convert capability into decisive action.
By contrast, what truly shapes their operational preparations is the prospect of an Israeli strike. That scenario is taken far more seriously in Tehran - and it is driving decisions on the ground.
The events of June 2025 cemented this mindset. When the United States appears fully engaged in diplomacy, Iranian officials increasingly interpret it not as de-escalation - but as potential strategic cover.
On the night of June 12, 2025, President Trump posted on X:
“We remain committed to a diplomatic resolution of Iran’s nuclear issue. The entire government has been instructed to negotiate with Iran. They can be a great country, but first they must completely abandon any hope of acquiring nuclear weapons.”
Yet just two and a half hours later, multiple explosions rocked Tehran. Soon after, the Israeli Air Force entered Iranian airspace.
Tehran has not forgotten that sequence. It fundamentally informs how the regime is interpreting the current moment.
Between 2007 and 2012, scientists carried out extensive ice drilling in Greenland, aiming to uncover Earth's climate history from the last 125,000 years.
Their findings put today's climate alarmism into perspective.
"Back then, Greenland was around 8°C warmer than today. Sea levels were 4-8m higher."
"Yet the planet didn't collapse and Greenland didn't melt. There were no tipping points and no mass extinctions."
"The planet was far warmer and life flourished."
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Roughly 21 million barrels per day of oil and petroleum products normally transit the Strait of Hormuz . That volume accounts for one fifth of global petroleum liquids consumption and one quarter of all seaborne traded oil.
Yet the destinations of those flows expose the asymmetry that ultimately doomed the strategy.
In the first half of 2025 ~89% percent of crude oil and condensate flowed eastward to Asian markets.
China absorbed 37.7 percent of the total followed by India at 14.7 percent South Korea at 12 percent Japan at 10.9 percent and other Asian buyers at 13.9 percent.
Europe received just 3.8 percent and the United States only 2.5 percent. The IRGC was never holding the West hostage. It holds the East.
By throttling traffic during the conflict the regime exercised its only economic "card". Ship transits collapsed to under ten percent of normal levels even after the ceasefire. Insurance rates soared and oil prices spiked.
The move they thought would delivered short term tactical breathing room and ...
when Trump was talking about regime change... he really meant his own 💀
📌 every removed or "resigned" senior official since the start of this week for the U.S.
🇺🇸 Reminder that all downed pilots are equipped with this: The GAU-5A
📌 It's a mission specific takedown AR variant that can be assembled within 20-30 seconds... with a 12.5'' 5.56 barrel, MLOK rail with QD lever, MBUS Pro sights, folding grip, and 4x 30 round magazines that are stored under the ejection seat