We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
The Oil and Water War – and Will American Soldiers Land on Iran’s Shores?
At the beginning of the war, during Operation Epic Fury, President Donald Trump promised that it would be a sharp, focused, and short operation. According to him, the campaign would end within weeks.
But if there is one certainty about wars, it is that they almost never unfold according to plan. Russia believed the war in Ukraine would end within days, and Israel’s Operation Peace for Galilee also began with similar promises.
Since the start of the war, Iran has worked to export the conflict beyond its borders and involve as many countries in the region as possible. Even countries considered relatively friendly, such as the United Arab Emirates, have suffered significant damage.
The Iranian strategy is clear –
to expand the battlefield and create political and economic disruption that will increase pressure on the United States, which Tehran believes struggles to sustain long wars.
One of the main arenas is, of course, the Strait of Hormuz. Roughly 25–30% of the world’s energy supply passes through these straits – about 20 million barrels of oil per day.
A sharp rise in oil prices immediately affects global supply chains and can lead to price increases and even shortages of various goods.
The challenge for the United States is that even if the Iranian navy suffers severe damage, it does not take a large military to disrupt traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. Naval mines, drones, missiles, or small submarines could be enough.
The actual shipping lane used by vessels is extremely narrow – sometimes only about 3 kilometers wide – which makes the area particularly vulnerable.
In such a scenario, the United States might be forced to deploy ground forces at strategic points to ensure the safe passage of ships and the continuation of international trade.
And that is precisely the kind of scenario the Trump administration would find very difficult to sell to the American public.
Iran itself is also paying a price. It exports about 1.5 million barrels of oil per day to China – roughly 90% of its oil exports. Most of this oil passes through Kharg Island, located about 25 kilometers off Iran’s coast.
Some analysts even estimate that the United States might attempt to seize the island in order to control Iranian oil exports – a move that, to a certain extent, has precedent in previous conflicts such as Iraq.
Either way – whether it involves Kharg Island or control over the Strait of Hormuz coastline – the possibility of American soldiers on Iranian soil no longer seems imaginary.
In fact, according to various reports, special forces may already be operating inside Iran.
“Boots on the ground” may already be a reality – the real question is how far this will expand.
At the same time, another front is opening – the water war.
This week we saw reciprocal strikes on desalination facilities. For the Gulf states, this is a critical vulnerability. In countries such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, a large portion of water supply comes from desalination.
Saudi Arabia, for example, does not have a single river.
Striking oil facilities is economically painful –
but striking water infrastructure could create civilian and political chaos.
And as always in wars – you may know how they begin,
but it is very difficult to know how they will end.
(Revolt of the Khaliphs)
Seven Murders.
Ten Suicides.
Five Traffic Accidents.
Eight Natural Deaths.
Marc Dutroux was the European Jeffrey Epstein sourcing children for paedo elites to rape and murder and they covered it up!
🇺🇸💬🇮🇷❌🇮🇷 — 🧐 ISW on 𝕏:
"MORE: Ghalibaf publicly defended negotiations on Iranian state television on April 18, arguing that diplomacy with the United States, alongside military power, is necessary to secure Iran’s objectives. Ghalibaf also reportedly criticized hardline officials, including Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) member Saeed Jalili and hardline parliamentarian Amirhossein Sabeti, for their opposition to negotiations during a meeting with advisers, but his criticisms were likely implicitly directed at Vahidi.
US officials separately told Axios on April 20 that the US negotiating delegation thought it was “negotiating with the right people“ in Islamabad on April 11 and 12 but that the IRGC effectively told the Iranian negotiating delegation upon their return to Tehran that they ”don’t speak for” the IRGC. Senior regime officials, including former IRGC Intelligence Organization Chief Hossein Taeb, reportedly called the Iranian ...
🚫🌾 The coming global food crisis — Financial Times
Hunger and even famine are foreseeable consequences of the war on Iran. Now the world must act to shield the poorest from effects that will continue long after the fighting stops
Few 20th-century transformations did more to remake the world than the “Green Revolution”. From the 1950s onwards, new high-yielding crop varieties, synthetic fertilisers, chemical pesticides and large-scale irrigation drove a sharp increase in the output of staple crops such as wheat and rice. In its more celebratory accounts, this transformation pushed back famine and helped support rapid population growth across much of Asia and Latin America. India, one of the key centres of the Green Revolution, more than doubled wheat production between the mid-1960s and early 1970s.
As numerous critics have noted, the Green Revolution also came with enormous ecological and social costs. But one of its less discussed consequences was the link it established ...
U.S. DEPRESSION RATE STAYS NEAR RECORD HIGH
A GALLUP SURVEY FINDS 19.1% OF U.S. ADULTS REPORT CURRENT DEPRESSION IN EARLY 2026—ABOUT 51 MILLION PEOPLE—NEAR HISTORIC HIGHS AND UP SHARPLY FROM 2015.
RATES SURGED AFTER 2019, BRIEFLY EASED IN 2024, THEN ROSE AGAIN. LIFETIME DIAGNOSES HAVE ALSO CLIMBED TO 29.5%.
THE INCREASE IS MOST PRONOUNCED AMONG YOUNGER ADULTS (18–29), WHERE DEPRESSION HAS MORE THAN DOUBLED TO 28%, AND AMONG LOW-INCOME HOUSEHOLDS, NOW AT 37.4%.
LONELINESS REMAINS A KEY DRIVER: THOSE FEELING LONELY ARE FAR MORE LIKELY TO REPORT DEPRESSION (33% VS. 13%). BOTH ARE STRONGLY LINKED TO LOWER LIFE SATISFACTION AND DECLINING OVERALL MENTAL WELLBEING IN THE U.S. ...
