🇮🇷🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸 What Cards Still Remain for Trump in Iran?
Everything seemed to be going very well for the second round of negotiations between Pakistanis, Americans, and Iranians, until a few days ago, when the IRGC, from what we can tell, expressed strong dissatisfaction with how the process was being handled.
They were especially unhappy that Trump’s narrative was being allowed to circulate freely and calm the markets, and they decided to intervene.
Trump did not see this turnaround coming. Iran not only refused to attend this round of negotiations but also made it explicitly clear that it had not requested any extension of the ceasefire.
Instead of sitting down at the table, Iran chose to flex its muscles: it paraded a missile launcher through the streets in a mini military display cheered by thousands of people.
All of this happened on the same day that NBC News reported an assessment from the Pentagon’s intelligence agency directly contradicting the public statements of the U.S. government.
While Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and Trump claim that Iranian forces have been annihilated, the intelligence report indicates that the country still retains significant military capabilities. On top of that, CNN also published on April 21 that the stockpiles of interceptors and Tomahawks are a major concern.
In any conflict, reality eventually imposes itself. This isn’t like an election campaign, where there’s a fixed deadline and you can plan everything in advance.
Right now, after Iran’s latest move, Donald Trump has a few cards left in his hand.
His strongest position is the naval blockade, which prevents Iran from exporting oil and cuts off its main source of revenue. The problem is that Iran can still survive for a few weeks under these conditions. But what about the global economy? That’s the point that makes this tactic questionable.
Another card would be to resume much harsher strikes, targeting Iranian civilian infrastructure and bringing the entire country to a halt.
This approach could cause severe environmental disasters in the region and would likely trigger Iranian retaliation against the same infrastructure in Gulf countries, dramatically worsening the energy crisis and potentially creating water shortages and data blackouts, since Iran has already announced it would cut submarine cables in such a scenario.
Four more cards remain in his hand: occupying ports, a new attempt to involve Gulf countries, opening Hormuz using destroyers, and, finally, tactical nuclear missiles.
Any of these options, seizing ports, freeing the strait with destroyers, or pulling in the Gulf countries, must be carefully evaluated because they all risk making the problem bigger instead of solving it.
đź”— Patricia Marins
🇺🇸 A group of students in Lubbock #TX have started punching, kicking, and beating the teachers.. in the middle of the school day. Students can be seen dragging white teachers by the hair. How is anyone supposed to learn in this environment? It's worth investigating.
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📝 🇺🇸 🗳 Trump and the GOP built a potent political base and then dynamited it so thoroughly; an astonishing rise and fall.
The medium to long term issue is just now, the Democrats earnestly don't want to deliver much of anything to their voters either. They don't even earnestly oppose the war in Iran and obviously they are furiously stroking it to the heckin' Ukrainians more overtly that Trumps gimp suited twats did.
Can the country survive 2 years of a congress unlikely to do much except investigate and hold hearings? The economy will almost certainly crumble from energy crisis, and the wars are respectively unwinnable and not very popular. Democrats are as dedicated to Zionism as the GOP, just more lowkey about it.
The real danger for America is either a Dem slimmer majority; that tries to "AHH Schucks we couldn't get anything done.... vote for us again, just not toooooo much okay?" or a Dem giga-majority that has to just outright avoid doing anything and says "Fuck it!".
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BREAKING: Iranian media publishes instructional guidelines for Iranian citizens in preparation for the possibility of a nuclear attack:
• Avoid looking directly at the intense light resulting from the explosion.
• If outside buildings and unable to enter immediately, take shelter behind a barrier and lie on the ground while covering the head and face.
• After the blast wave passes, enter the nearest building, avoid staying to watch or take photos, and do not take shelter inside vehicles.
• Head to the basement or interior parts of the building, away from windows and exterior walls.
• Close doors and windows and turn off air conditioning and ventilation devices that draw air from outside.
• Remove outer clothing exposed to contamination without shaking it off, and place it in a tightly sealed bag away from people, without going outside to dispose of it.
• Shower with lukewarm water and soap, and use regular shampoo without conditioner.
• If showering is not...
TLDR: Basically it was a social engineering phishing attack in two parts. One of the engineers downloaded a bogus AI coding tool off of a fake link on Google, and the second engineer was tricked by a fake interviewer for a new job to download a coding “assignment” containing a virus. With those two engineers compromised they could gain access to Binance.
The takeaway here? You are only as strong as your weakest link. Social engineering remains the best way to hack systems. Also DO NOT DOWNLOAD THINGS. Check to see if the Google links are REAL, do not click links or download things for “job interviews.”
Separately phishing similar to this happens all the time on X. People will DM you posing as journalist or whatever and ask you to set an interview time by connecting your X account to some calendar. Don’t do that. In the words of Admiral Ackbar, it’s a trap.
Also separately separately nobody from Google is trying to call you. We promise you. Don’t be a mark.
Also she’s...